If Cornell wins on Saturday

All weighted probabilities are generated using KRACH comparisons. The KRACH is static, it does not regenerate after each game. The current method of predicting a tie game using KRACH isn't the best, it overstates the likelihood of a tie against two closely matched teams, feel free to email hamilr2@rpi.edu with suggestions.

Team	Likelihood	Most Likely Seed if in Tournament
Yale	100.0000%	1
North Dakota	100.0000%	2
Boston College	100.0000%	3
Miami	100.0000%	4
Denver	100.0000%	5
Merrimack	100.0000%	6
Michigan	100.0000%	7
Union	100.0000%	8
Minnesota-Duluth	100.0000%	9
Western Michigan	100.0000%	11
Notre Dame	100.0000%	11
New Hampshire	100.0000%	12
Cornell	100.0000%	15
Colorado College	96.9565%	14
Nebraska-Omaha	80.9972%	13
RIT	51.5862%	16
Air Force	48.4138%	16
Rensselaer	22.0463%	14

Yale - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
1	100.0000%	100.0000%	144

North Dakota - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
2	74.1330%	75.0000%	108
3	25.8670%	25.0000%	36

Boston College - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
2	25.8670%	25.0000%	36
3	74.1330%	75.0000%	108

Miami - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
4	72.2839%	58.3333%	84
5	16.7728%	20.8333%	30
6	9.2645%	16.6667%	24
7	1.6788%	4.1667%	6

Denver - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
4	9.7484%	12.5000%	18
5	48.0607%	41.6667%	60
6	23.9573%	29.1667%	42
7	18.2336%	16.6667%	24

Merrimack - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
4	13.5704%	25.0000%	36
5	22.4380%	25.0000%	36
6	61.0080%	45.8333%	66
7	2.9835%	4.1667%	6

Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
4	4.3973%	4.1667%	6
5	12.7285%	12.5000%	18
6	5.7701%	8.3333%	12
7	57.1425%	41.6667%	60
8	19.9616%	33.3333%	48

Union - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
7	19.9616%	33.3333%	48
8	80.0384%	66.6667%	96

Minnesota-Duluth - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
9	80.0384%	66.6667%	96
10	19.9616%	33.3333%	48

Western Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
10	49.2347%	50.0000%	72
11	50.7653%	50.0000%	72

Notre Dame - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
9	19.9616%	33.3333%	48
10	30.8037%	16.6667%	24
11	49.2347%	50.0000%	72

New Hampshire - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
12	77.9075%	66.6667%	96
13	21.1473%	27.7778%	40
14	0.9452%	5.5556%	8

Cornell - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
15	100.0000%	100.0000%	144
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
20	100.0000%	100.0000%	144

Colorado College - 96.9565% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
13	25.2295%	27.7778%	40
14	71.7270%	55.5556%	80
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
15	3.0435%	16.6667%	24

Nebraska-Omaha - 80.9972% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
12	19.0708%	16.6667%	24
13	52.6780%	38.8889%	56
14	9.2484%	22.2222%	32
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
15	19.0028%	22.2222%	32

RIT - 51.5862% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
16	51.5862%	50.0000%	72
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
23	51.5862%	50.0000%	72
29	48.4138%	50.0000%	72

Air Force - 48.4138% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
16	48.4138%	50.0000%	72
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
24	48.4138%	50.0000%	72
29	51.5862%	50.0000%	72

Rensselaer - 22.0463% Chance of being in the tournament

Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
12	3.0217%	16.6667%	24
13	0.9452%	5.5556%	8
14	18.0794%	16.6667%	24
Seed	Weighted	Unweighted	Permutations
15	77.9537%	61.1111%	88