Prediction with wins by DU, RIT, Miami, and Yale -- If Boston College wins
All weighted probabilities are generated using KRACH comparisons. The KRACH is static, it does not regenerate after each game. The current method of predicting a tie game using KRACH isn't the best, it overstates the likelihood of a tie against two closely matched teams, feel free to email hamilr2@rpi.edu with suggestions.
Yale - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 1 | 100.0000% | 100.0000% | 9216 |
North Dakota - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 63.4816% | 62.5000% | 5760 |
| 3 | 36.5184% | 37.5000% | 3456 |
Boston College - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 36.5184% | 37.5000% | 3456 |
| 3 | 63.4816% | 62.5000% | 5760 |
Miami - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 56.8703% | 56.2500% | 5184 |
| 5 | 21.2239% | 20.8333% | 1920 |
| 6 | 18.6341% | 18.7500% | 1728 |
| 7 | 3.2717% | 4.1667% | 384 |
Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 28.7682% | 21.8750% | 2016 |
| 5 | 24.2341% | 22.8516% | 2106 |
| 6 | 19.5405% | 21.5278% | 1984 |
| 7 | 22.4293% | 23.3290% | 2150 |
| 8 | 5.0280% | 10.4167% | 960 |
Denver - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 5.2874% | 9.3750% | 864 |
| 5 | 44.1682% | 43.6306% | 4021 |
| 6 | 35.6017% | 33.4527% | 3083 |
| 7 | 14.9427% | 13.5417% | 1248 |
Merrimack - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 9.0741% | 12.5000% | 1152 |
| 5 | 10.3738% | 12.6845% | 1169 |
| 6 | 20.9437% | 17.5239% | 1615 |
| 7 | 22.8662% | 16.7101% | 1540 |
| 8 | 16.9312% | 16.0807% | 1482 |
| 9 | 19.1223% | 23.8824% | 2201 |
| 10 | 0.6887% | 0.6185% | 57 |
Union - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 6 | 2.3060% | 3.7218% | 343 |
| 7 | 22.8530% | 23.3724% | 2154 |
| 8 | 74.0330% | 69.2491% | 6382 |
| 9 | 0.7539% | 3.1250% | 288 |
| 10 | 0.0541% | 0.5317% | 49 |
Minnesota-Duluth - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 8 | 3.5321% | 1.8121% | 167 |
| 9 | 55.4418% | 48.9909% | 4515 |
| 10 | 35.9684% | 40.8637% | 3766 |
| 11 | 5.0577% | 8.3333% | 768 |
Notre Dame - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 8 | 0.3754% | 1.7578% | 162 |
| 9 | 24.6291% | 23.5894% | 2174 |
| 10 | 47.0596% | 38.3030% | 3530 |
| 11 | 16.7783% | 17.5456% | 1617 |
| 12 | 10.2505% | 15.2886% | 1409 |
| 13 | 0.5264% | 2.2135% | 204 |
| 14 | 0.3563% | 1.1719% | 108 |
| 15 | 0.0242% | 0.1302% | 12 |
New Hampshire - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 6 | 2.9740% | 5.0239% | 463 |
| 7 | 13.6372% | 18.8802% | 1740 |
| 8 | 0.1002% | 0.6836% | 63 |
| 9 | 0.0529% | 0.4123% | 38 |
| 10 | 5.0139% | 5.2083% | 480 |
| 11 | 42.6467% | 22.3850% | 2063 |
| 12 | 25.8936% | 26.9965% | 2488 |
| 13 | 7.4385% | 13.0859% | 1206 |
| 14 | 2.0238% | 6.3368% | 584 |
| 15 | 0.2190% | 0.9874% | 91 |
Nebraska-Omaha - 96.1593% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 12 | 20.0755% | 8.1597% | 752 |
| 13 | 42.3164% | 31.8142% | 2932 |
| 14 | 17.5291% | 23.5352% | 2169 |
| 15 | 16.2382% | 22.6345% | 2086 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.8819% | 5.2734% | 486 |
| 16 | 2.9588% | 8.5829% | 791 |
Colorado College - 91.8363% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 0.3212% | 0.8247% | 76 |
| 11 | 4.8946% | 9.9392% | 916 |
| 12 | 24.8762% | 19.4119% | 1789 |
| 13 | 12.6411% | 16.5799% | 1528 |
| 14 | 42.3582% | 29.6332% | 2731 |
| 15 | 6.7450% | 11.2522% | 1037 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.2571% | 2.9188% | 269 |
| 16 | 7.9065% | 9.4401% | 870 |
Rensselaer - 83.6554% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 11 | 0.1434% | 0.2930% | 27 |
| 12 | 2.2888% | 7.9427% | 732 |
| 13 | 14.1666% | 19.5421% | 1801 |
| 14 | 18.4110% | 27.3438% | 2520 |
| 15 | 48.6457% | 25.7161% | 2370 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 5.6683% | 11.0135% | 1015 |
| 16 | 10.6763% | 8.1489% | 751 |
Western Michigan - 63.3717% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 10.8249% | 13.3464% | 1230 |
| 11 | 20.9085% | 27.4414% | 2529 |
| 12 | 8.8981% | 11.5668% | 1066 |
| 13 | 13.7872% | 14.4206% | 1329 |
| 14 | 2.4868% | 4.2101% | 388 |
| 15 | 6.4663% | 3.8954% | 359 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.4599% | 0.6944% | 64 |
| 16 | 9.0027% | 6.6081% | 609 |
| 17 | 21.7995% | 13.7912% | 1271 |
| 18 | 5.3663% | 4.0256% | 371 |
RIT - 54.9371% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 54.9371% | 50.0000% | 4608 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 21 | 19.4506% | 21.9401% | 2022 |
| 22 | 26.8720% | 14.5182% | 1338 |
| 23 | 7.8467% | 11.2088% | 1033 |
| 24 | 0.7555% | 2.1701% | 200 |
| 25 | 0.0123% | 0.1628% | 15 |
| 27 | 3.7114% | 4.4596% | 411 |
| 28 | 19.6445% | 28.0165% | 2582 |
| 29 | 21.7070% | 17.5239% | 1615 |
Dartmouth - 49.1619% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 0.0692% | 0.3038% | 28 |
| 11 | 9.5706% | 14.0625% | 1296 |
| 12 | 7.7172% | 10.6337% | 980 |
| 13 | 9.1238% | 2.3438% | 216 |
| 14 | 15.1218% | 6.3368% | 584 |
| 15 | 7.5594% | 5.6966% | 525 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.6353% | 1.0742% | 99 |
| 16 | 35.7988% | 27.8754% | 2569 |
| 17 | 9.0853% | 11.6862% | 1077 |
| 18 | 4.1006% | 9.8633% | 909 |
| 19 | 1.1264% | 9.6029% | 885 |
| 20 | 0.0916% | 0.5208% | 48 |
Air Force - 30.1616% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 30.1616% | 25.0000% | 2304 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 21 | 7.2077% | 8.3984% | 774 |
| 22 | 20.1143% | 9.7114% | 895 |
| 23 | 0.1330% | 0.6402% | 59 |
| 24 | 2.5599% | 6.1415% | 566 |
| 25 | 0.0645% | 0.0434% | 4 |
| 26 | 0.0823% | 0.0651% | 6 |
| 28 | 7.9090% | 5.3168% | 490 |
| 29 | 25.0698% | 28.0165% | 2582 |
| 30 | 36.8596% | 41.6667% | 3840 |
Holy Cross - 14.9013% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 14.9013% | 25.0000% | 2304 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 37 | 1.3883% | 2.7344% | 252 |
| 38 | 10.1244% | 15.4948% | 1428 |
| 39 | 3.3886% | 6.7708% | 624 |
| 40 | 24.0021% | 25.0000% | 2304 |
| 41 | 61.0966% | 50.0000% | 4608 |
Cornell - 8.9738% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 8.9738% | 25.0000% | 2304 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 20 | 8.0402% | 22.7539% | 2097 |
| 21 | 0.9335% | 2.2461% | 207 |
| 22 | 0.0404% | 0.0868% | 8 |
| 23 | 0.1927% | 0.1845% | 17 |
| 24 | 1.8037% | 1.8121% | 167 |
| 25 | 7.4451% | 5.4796% | 505 |
| 26 | 12.8225% | 8.1814% | 754 |
| 27 | 24.0502% | 15.9939% | 1474 |
| 28 | 20.0425% | 15.4948% | 1428 |
| 29 | 18.9325% | 11.0243% | 1016 |
| 30 | 1.3355% | 6.0547% | 558 |
| 31 | 4.1016% | 10.3082% | 950 |
| 32 | 0.2596% | 0.3798% | 35 |
Boston University - 6.8415% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 1.7130% | 1.4323% | 132 |
| 15 | 5.1285% | 4.6875% | 432 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 1.0712% | 4.0256% | 371 |
| 16 | 32.0957% | 37.1094% | 3420 |
| 17 | 59.9916% | 52.7452% | 4861 |