Prediction if Miami wins its Semifinal
All weighted probabilities are generated using KRACH comparisons. The KRACH is static, it does not regenerate after each game. The current method of predicting a tie game using KRACH isn't the best, it overstates the likelihood of a tie against two closely matched teams, feel free to email hamilr2@rpi.edu with suggestions.
Yale - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 1 | 100.0000% | 100.0000% | 18432 |
North Dakota - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 70.1821% | 81.2500% | 14976 |
| 3 | 29.8179% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
Boston College - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 29.8179% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
| 3 | 60.5605% | 56.2500% | 10368 |
| 4 | 9.6216% | 25.0000% | 4608 |
Miami - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 3 | 9.6216% | 25.0000% | 4608 |
| 4 | 47.0640% | 31.2500% | 5760 |
| 5 | 20.5677% | 20.8333% | 3840 |
| 6 | 18.8968% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
| 7 | 3.8499% | 4.1667% | 768 |
Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 27.5694% | 21.8750% | 4032 |
| 5 | 24.7296% | 22.8841% | 4218 |
| 6 | 20.5679% | 22.3958% | 4128 |
| 7 | 21.8759% | 22.4284% | 4134 |
| 8 | 5.2572% | 10.4167% | 1920 |
Denver - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 5.0671% | 9.3750% | 1728 |
| 5 | 42.6283% | 43.6903% | 8053 |
| 6 | 36.7533% | 33.3930% | 6155 |
| 7 | 15.5514% | 13.5417% | 2496 |
Union - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 6 | 2.4419% | 5.1053% | 941 |
| 7 | 23.0221% | 24.4792% | 4512 |
| 8 | 73.7301% | 67.4533% | 12433 |
| 9 | 0.7618% | 2.6964% | 497 |
| 10 | 0.0442% | 0.2658% | 49 |
Merrimack - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 10.6780% | 12.5000% | 2304 |
| 5 | 12.0744% | 12.5922% | 2321 |
| 6 | 18.8262% | 17.6161% | 3247 |
| 7 | 21.3617% | 20.9256% | 3857 |
| 8 | 14.4375% | 11.9303% | 2199 |
| 9 | 21.3806% | 23.3398% | 4302 |
| 10 | 1.2417% | 1.0959% | 202 |
Minnesota-Duluth - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 8 | 3.4083% | 2.5825% | 476 |
| 9 | 54.2738% | 49.0994% | 9050 |
| 10 | 36.3302% | 40.0174% | 7376 |
| 11 | 5.9876% | 8.3008% | 1530 |
New Hampshire - 99.9988% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 6 | 2.5140% | 2.7398% | 505 |
| 7 | 14.3390% | 14.4586% | 2665 |
| 8 | 2.7542% | 6.0655% | 1118 |
| 9 | 0.2914% | 1.7361% | 320 |
| 10 | 6.0633% | 10.9266% | 2014 |
| 11 | 43.4439% | 30.9625% | 5707 |
| 12 | 22.2810% | 18.7609% | 3458 |
| 13 | 6.4128% | 9.3750% | 1728 |
| 14 | 1.7173% | 4.3077% | 794 |
| 15 | 0.1820% | 0.5805% | 107 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.0012% | 0.0868% | 16 |
Notre Dame - 99.9903% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 8 | 0.4126% | 1.5516% | 286 |
| 9 | 23.2925% | 23.1283% | 4263 |
| 10 | 45.9211% | 34.7711% | 6409 |
| 11 | 17.2571% | 15.3592% | 2831 |
| 12 | 12.0132% | 19.4010% | 3576 |
| 13 | 0.6439% | 3.5319% | 651 |
| 14 | 0.4246% | 1.7578% | 324 |
| 15 | 0.0253% | 0.1302% | 24 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.0056% | 0.2604% | 48 |
| 15 | 0.0041% | 0.1085% | 20 |
Nebraska-Omaha - 94.8431% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 12 | 19.2221% | 6.4833% | 1195 |
| 13 | 42.2271% | 29.5519% | 5447 |
| 14 | 17.9619% | 22.6183% | 4169 |
| 15 | 15.4320% | 17.1821% | 3167 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.1101% | 2.2407% | 413 |
| 15 | 2.0846% | 13.3030% | 2452 |
| 16 | 2.9622% | 8.6209% | 1589 |
Colorado College - 90.3344% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 0.2649% | 0.4557% | 84 |
| 11 | 4.3099% | 7.6172% | 1404 |
| 12 | 25.3731% | 20.5078% | 3780 |
| 13 | 12.4780% | 16.3845% | 3020 |
| 14 | 41.4442% | 25.8572% | 4766 |
| 15 | 6.4643% | 8.6643% | 1597 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.2187% | 1.8229% | 336 |
| 15 | 1.5099% | 8.6751% | 1599 |
| 16 | 7.9370% | 10.0152% | 1846 |
Rensselaer - 82.3867% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 11 | 0.1553% | 0.4015% | 74 |
| 12 | 2.6283% | 9.2122% | 1698 |
| 13 | 15.2829% | 23.9909% | 4422 |
| 14 | 19.2047% | 28.4993% | 5253 |
| 15 | 45.1156% | 18.4245% | 3396 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.1220% | 1.4540% | 268 |
| 15 | 6.6181% | 11.4692% | 2114 |
| 16 | 10.4717% | 6.1740% | 1138 |
| 17 | 0.4015% | 0.3743% | 69 |
Western Michigan - 63.0676% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 10.0772% | 12.2721% | 2262 |
| 11 | 20.3472% | 25.9006% | 4774 |
| 12 | 9.6819% | 12.2884% | 2265 |
| 13 | 14.1073% | 15.3049% | 2821 |
| 14 | 2.5848% | 4.1504% | 765 |
| 15 | 6.2692% | 3.0328% | 559 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.0161% | 0.4720% | 87 |
| 15 | 0.8169% | 2.0345% | 375 |
| 16 | 8.8731% | 6.0221% | 1110 |
| 17 | 19.3866% | 11.2522% | 2074 |
| 18 | 7.8397% | 7.2700% | 1340 |
RIT - 54.9371% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 2.8926% | 12.5000% | 2304 |
| 16 | 52.0445% | 37.5000% | 6912 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 21 | 18.6775% | 19.9164% | 3671 |
| 22 | 23.5043% | 10.1183% | 1865 |
| 23 | 9.1088% | 12.9123% | 2380 |
| 24 | 3.1256% | 3.8303% | 706 |
| 25 | 0.1351% | 1.4540% | 268 |
| 26 | 0.4306% | 1.8555% | 342 |
| 27 | 3.5029% | 3.6458% | 672 |
| 28 | 17.8230% | 20.7628% | 3827 |
| 29 | 19.7972% | 17.0302% | 3139 |
| 30 | 1.1351% | 4.3077% | 794 |
| 31 | 2.7599% | 4.1667% | 768 |
Dartmouth - 47.8507% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 0.0576% | 0.1953% | 36 |
| 11 | 8.4990% | 11.4583% | 2112 |
| 12 | 8.8005% | 13.3464% | 2460 |
| 13 | 8.8480% | 1.8609% | 343 |
| 14 | 14.3354% | 5.3711% | 990 |
| 15 | 7.3101% | 4.3457% | 801 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 1.0919% | 2.1539% | 397 |
| 16 | 33.5224% | 24.7396% | 4560 |
| 17 | 9.7539% | 10.3407% | 1906 |
| 18 | 6.7166% | 18.7446% | 3455 |
| 19 | 0.9784% | 6.9770% | 1286 |
| 20 | 0.0862% | 0.4666% | 86 |
Air Force - 30.1616% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 1.5881% | 6.2500% | 1152 |
| 16 | 28.5735% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 21 | 7.4227% | 8.6317% | 1591 |
| 22 | 19.9108% | 9.5757% | 1765 |
| 23 | 0.1215% | 0.5425% | 100 |
| 24 | 2.5672% | 6.1632% | 1136 |
| 25 | 0.0646% | 0.0380% | 7 |
| 26 | 0.0749% | 0.0488% | 9 |
| 27 | 0.3229% | 0.3364% | 62 |
| 28 | 7.2012% | 3.8466% | 709 |
| 29 | 24.1216% | 22.0812% | 4070 |
| 30 | 35.3117% | 36.1274% | 6659 |
| 31 | 2.8810% | 12.6085% | 2324 |
Holy Cross - 14.9013% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 14.9013% | 25.0000% | 4608 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 37 | 2.4104% | 7.7365% | 1426 |
| 38 | 9.6721% | 13.5851% | 2504 |
| 39 | 2.8188% | 3.6784% | 678 |
| 40 | 24.0021% | 25.0000% | 4608 |
| 41 | 61.0966% | 50.0000% | 9216 |
Cornell - 8.9738% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.4725% | 6.2500% | 1152 |
| 15 | 8.5013% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 20 | 8.0582% | 22.7973% | 4202 |
| 21 | 0.9156% | 2.2027% | 406 |
| 22 | 0.0377% | 0.0597% | 11 |
| 23 | 0.1906% | 0.1736% | 32 |
| 24 | 1.7904% | 1.7578% | 324 |
| 25 | 7.9178% | 6.7220% | 1239 |
| 26 | 13.1379% | 9.2339% | 1702 |
| 27 | 25.2289% | 15.4785% | 2853 |
| 28 | 18.0615% | 10.7856% | 1988 |
| 29 | 17.8747% | 10.6988% | 1972 |
| 30 | 2.2062% | 6.3585% | 1172 |
| 31 | 3.5613% | 7.7257% | 1424 |
| 32 | 1.0154% | 5.9842% | 1103 |
| 33 | 0.0038% | 0.0217% | 4 |
Boston University - 6.6017% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 1.5529% | 0.9494% | 175 |
| 15 | 5.0488% | 3.6024% | 664 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 1.3782% | 5.3819% | 992 |
| 16 | 32.8532% | 38.2975% | 7059 |
| 17 | 57.8082% | 49.4032% | 9106 |
| 18 | 1.3587% | 2.3655% | 436 |
Northeastern - 5.2652% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.7846% | 6.2500% | 1152 |
| 16 | 4.4806% | 18.7500% | 3456 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 22 | 0.0209% | 0.3092% | 57 |
| 23 | 0.0015% | 0.0217% | 4 |
| 24 | 0.6648% | 2.9839% | 550 |
| 25 | 1.1050% | 4.9045% | 904 |
| 26 | 1.0447% | 5.4199% | 999 |
| 27 | 1.4461% | 5.5176% | 1017 |
| 28 | 0.9822% | 5.8431% | 1077 |
| 29 | 0.0211% | 0.2062% | 38 |
| 30 | 4.3664% | 10.3190% | 1902 |
| 31 | 8.6956% | 14.4748% | 2668 |
| 33 | 39.5811% | 18.5547% | 3420 |
| 34 | 42.0707% | 31.4453% | 5796 |
Maine - 0.6878% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 14 | 0.3016% | 0.2387% | 44 |
| 15 | 0.3862% | 0.2875% | 53 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.2616% | 0.5371% | 99 |
| 16 | 3.3805% | 6.1306% | 1130 |
| 17 | 12.6497% | 28.6296% | 5277 |
| 18 | 77.2093% | 57.0855% | 10522 |
| 19 | 5.8111% | 7.0909% | 1307 |