Prediction with wins by DU, RIT, Miami, Yale, BC, Air Force, Cornell, WMU, and UND -- If Merrimack wins
All weighted probabilities are generated using KRACH comparisons. The KRACH is static, it does not regenerate after each game. The current method of predicting a tie game using KRACH isn't the best, it overstates the likelihood of a tie against two closely matched teams, feel free to email hamilr2@rpi.edu with suggestions.
Yale - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 1 | 100.0000% | 100.0000% | 288 |
North Dakota - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 74.1330% | 75.0000% | 216 |
| 3 | 25.8670% | 25.0000% | 72 |
Boston College - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 2 | 25.8670% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 3 | 74.1330% | 75.0000% | 216 |
Miami - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 72.2839% | 58.3333% | 168 |
| 5 | 16.7728% | 20.8333% | 60 |
| 6 | 9.2645% | 16.6667% | 48 |
| 7 | 1.6788% | 4.1667% | 12 |
Denver - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 9.7484% | 12.5000% | 36 |
| 5 | 48.0607% | 41.6667% | 120 |
| 6 | 23.9573% | 29.1667% | 84 |
| 7 | 18.2336% | 16.6667% | 48 |
Merrimack - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 13.5704% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 5 | 22.4380% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 6 | 61.0080% | 45.8333% | 132 |
| 7 | 2.9835% | 4.1667% | 12 |
Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 4 | 4.3973% | 4.1667% | 12 |
| 5 | 12.7285% | 12.5000% | 36 |
| 6 | 5.7701% | 8.3333% | 24 |
| 7 | 57.1425% | 41.6667% | 120 |
| 8 | 19.9616% | 33.3333% | 96 |
Union - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 7 | 19.9616% | 33.3333% | 96 |
| 8 | 80.0384% | 66.6667% | 192 |
Minnesota-Duluth - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 9 | 80.0384% | 66.6667% | 192 |
| 10 | 19.9616% | 33.3333% | 96 |
Notre Dame - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 9 | 19.9616% | 33.3333% | 96 |
| 10 | 30.8037% | 16.6667% | 48 |
| 11 | 49.2347% | 50.0000% | 144 |
Western Michigan - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 10 | 49.2347% | 50.0000% | 144 |
| 11 | 50.7653% | 50.0000% | 144 |
New Hampshire - 100.0000% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 12 | 77.9075% | 66.6667% | 192 |
| 13 | 21.1473% | 27.7778% | 80 |
| 14 | 0.9452% | 5.5556% | 16 |
Colorado College - 99.3382% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 13 | 25.2295% | 27.7778% | 80 |
| 14 | 71.7270% | 55.5556% | 160 |
| 15 | 2.3818% | 8.3333% | 24 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 0.6618% | 8.3333% | 24 |
Nebraska-Omaha - 95.8683% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 12 | 19.0708% | 16.6667% | 48 |
| 13 | 52.6780% | 38.8889% | 112 |
| 14 | 9.2484% | 22.2222% | 64 |
| 15 | 14.8710% | 11.1111% | 32 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 4.1317% | 11.1111% | 32 |
Rensselaer - 83.0507% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 12 | 3.0217% | 16.6667% | 48 |
| 13 | 0.9452% | 5.5556% | 16 |
| 14 | 18.0794% | 16.6667% | 48 |
| 15 | 61.0044% | 30.5556% | 88 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 16.9493% | 30.5556% | 88 |
RIT - 51.5862% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 51.5862% | 50.0000% | 144 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 22 | 40.3699% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 23 | 11.2163% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 29 | 48.4138% | 50.0000% | 144 |
Air Force - 48.4138% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 16 | 48.4138% | 50.0000% | 144 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 22 | 37.8873% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 24 | 10.5265% | 25.0000% | 72 |
| 29 | 51.5862% | 50.0000% | 144 |
Cornell - 21.7428% Chance of being in the tournament
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 15 | 21.7428% | 50.0000% | 144 |
| Seed | Weighted | Unweighted | Permutations |
| 20 | 21.7428% | 50.0000% | 144 |
| 23 | 0.6609% | 0.6944% | 2 |
| 25 | 11.5318% | 4.1667% | 12 |
| 26 | 22.7997% | 9.3750% | 27 |
| 27 | 43.2648% | 35.7639% | 103 |